Prediction market oracle for AI agents. 28 tools, 4500+ markets from Polymarket & Kalshi.
Copy the AI prompt to install this server into Claude Code, Cursor, or another agent β or use 1-click editor setup below.
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π‘ Paste the JSON block into your client's configuration file under mcpServers, then restart the application.
Inspect callable tools, capabilities, and parameters exposed to AI agents by TeleKash MCP Server.
get_probabilityReal-time YES/NO probability with volume-weighted confidence score
list_marketsBrowse markets by category, source, jurisdiction, with sorting
search_marketsFull-text search across 4,500+ markets
get_historyHistorical probability changes over 1h, 24h, 7d, 30d
get_sentimentAI sentiment analysis with conviction, momentum, and noise filter
get_market_statsAggregate statistics across all markets and sources
Prediction market probability oracle for AI agents.
TeleKash is the probability oracle for the agent economy. Real-time access to 4,500+ live prediction markets from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) and Polymarket. Structured trading signals, cross-source arbitrage detection, noise filtering, and smart trade routing across crypto, politics, sports, entertainment, finance, weather, tech, and science.
What makes it different:
Add to your MCP configuration file:
28 tools across 4 categories. All tools work without an API key on the Free tier (100 queries/day). 4,500+ live markets.
| Tool | What it does | Tier |
|---|---|---|
get_probability | Real-time YES/NO probability with volume-weighted confidence score | Free |
list_markets | Browse markets by category, source, jurisdiction, with sorting | Free |
search_markets | Full-text search across 4,500+ markets | Free |
get_history | Historical probability changes over 1h, 24h, 7d, 30d | Free |
get_sentiment | AI sentiment analysis with conviction, momentum, and noise filter | Free |
get_market_stats | Aggregate statistics across all markets and sources | Free |
get_trending | Markets with the biggest probability swings | Free |
compare_sources | Kalshi vs Polymarket side-by-side odds comparison | Calibration |
| Tool | What it does | Tier |
|---|---|---|
detect_arbitrage | Cross-source arbitrage opportunities with buy/sell signals | Calibration |
get_signal | Structured TPF signal: probability + sentiment + noise filter + verdict | Calibration |
get_divergences | Markets where sources disagree most (STRONG/MODERATE/WEAK) | Calibration |
get_edge | Kelly Criterion sizing, expected value, and risk classification | Calibration |
track_prediction | Record predictions for accuracy tracking | Calibration |
get_performance | Brier score, calibration curve, edge-vs-market analysis | Calibration |
| Tool | What it does | Tier |
|---|---|---|
execute_trade | Route trades to Kalshi, Polymarket, or native parimutuel pools | Edge |
get_order_status | Check fill status, price, and commission on broker orders | Edge |
cancel_order | Cancel pending or submitted broker orders | Edge |
get_pool_status | Native pool composition, participant counts, implied odds | Edge |
get_agent_balance | Agent balance, P&L, win rate, and pool position count | Edge |
get_resolution_status | Multi-source resolution verification and confidence levels | Edge |
create_market | Create custom binary prediction markets | Edge |
export_data | Bulk export: probability history, resolutions, catalogs, arbitrage | Edge |
| Tool | What it does | Tier |
|---|---|---|
generate_api_key | Generate a free API key (no signup required) | Free |
get_usage | Check current API usage, rate limits, and tier status | Free |
register_alert | Webhook alerts for probability crosses, mispricings, volume spikes | Edge |
list_alerts | List active webhook alerts with delivery stats | Edge |
delete_alert | Delete a webhook alert | Edge |
get_health | System health: connectivity, data freshness, broker status | Free |
Per-query pricing. No subscriptions. Free tier requires no API key.
| Tier | Cost | Queries/Day | What you get |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free | $0 | 100 | Probabilities, search, trending, sentiment, stats, health |
| Calibration | $0.01/query | 1,000 | + Cross-source comparison, arbitrage, signals, divergence, Kelly sizing, performance tracking |
| Edge | $0.05/query | Unlimited | + Broker trading (1% commission), native pools (5% fee), webhooks, data export, market creation |
| Stream | Rate | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Intelligence queries | $0 - $0.05/query | Real-time probability, sentiment, signals |
| Broker trades | 1% commission | Best-price execution routed to Kalshi or Polymarket |
| Native pool trades | 5% fee at resolution | Parimutuel pools alongside Telegram users |
Agents can also pay per-call without an API key or tier β attach payment proof directly in tool arguments.
| Rail | Network | Asset | Fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| x402 (Coinbase) | Base, Polygon, Solana | USDC | Free (0%) |
| Stripe MPP | Fiat | USD (cards, bank) | 2.9% |
| TON | TON mainnet | TON | Free (0%) |
Connect to the server and query a market probability:
More examples in the examples/ directory:
quick-start.ts -- Connect, search, get probabilitiesarbitrage-scanner.ts -- Find cross-source mispricingsportfolio-scanner.ts -- Scan markets and build a ranked portfoliomarket-monitor.ts -- Watch a market and log probability changesThe server works without any credentials (returns demo data). For live market access:
| Source | Type | Sync Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | CFTC-regulated US exchange | Every 15 minutes |
| Polymarket | Crypto-native exchange | Every hour |
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