Varrd vs Octodamus Core

varrd_edges

THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here. FREE at depth=0, always safe to call. Live feed of THIS USER'S OWN statistically validated trading edges — the ones on their account — running 24/7 against real market data. See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, get trade levels, or audit the full methodology. Scoped to the connected account: if the user has no edges yet, this returns none (it is NOT a general/shared library). THREE TIERS: depth=0 (FREE — call this first): See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, pending bar close, or actively in trades. Markets and status only — no direction, no stats. Get a sense of what's live. depth=1 ($0.50): Unlock direction, occurrence count, EV/trade, stop-loss, take-profit, hold horizon, and current entry prices for ALL active edges in one request. depth=2 ($1 per edge, $5 for all): Full methodology — the actual formula, setup code, how the edge was discovered, edge decay analysis, complete performance analytics (Sharpe, drawdown, equity curve, profit factor). Machine-readable so any AI can audit the statistical rigor. Includes drill-down sections (free after purchase): setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, and view (interactive chart link for your user, 15 min). Every edge in this library is Bonferroni-corrected, tested against both zero returns and market baseline, with K-tracking to prevent p-hacking. Out-of-sample validated. Full transparency.

varrd_ai

Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups. MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time. 1. Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern 2. 'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest) 3. 'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly. - ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data. - NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc. KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for: - 'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators - 'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search - 'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing - 'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing: - STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline - MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal) - PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market) - NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.