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Prediction Market Friction Tracker

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Prediction-market fee/KYC/withdrawal data, venue recommendations, and a paid x402 change feed.

Quick Install

Automated & IDE Setup

Copy the AI prompt to install this server into Claude Code, Cursor, or another agent β€” or use 1-click editor setup below.

Add to CursorAdd to VS Code
Manual Client & Custom JSON ConfigExpand JSON β–Ύ

Client Config & Setup

Choose your client or environment
Target File:~/Library/Application Support/Claude/claude_desktop_config.json
claude_desktop_config.json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "prediction-market-friction-tracker": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": [
        "-y",
        "prediction-market-friction-tracker"
      ]
    }
  }
}

πŸ’‘ Paste the JSON block into your client's configuration file under mcpServers, then restart the application.

Install Directory Badge Claim listing AlternativesπŸ’° More in Finance & Fintech

Documentation Overview

Prediction market friction tracker

Structured KYC, fee, and withdrawal data across 12 prediction-market venues, plus a change feed for when those terms move and a natural-language "which venue is best for X" recommendation tool. Built for AI agents that need to check execution friction before routing a trade β€” not for humans clicking around a dashboard.

Live now: https://prediction-friction-tracker-production.up.railway.app

For agents: three ways in

  1. Plain HTTP β€” GET /friction/venues, GET /friction/venue/{slug}, GET /friction/changes?since=<ISO8601>. Full OpenAPI spec at /openapi.json, interactive docs at /docs, agent-readable summary at /llms.txt.
  2. MCP β€” a streamable-HTTP MCP server mounted at /mcp/, exposing list_venues, get_venue, recommend_venue, and get_changes_info as tools. Point any MCP-compatible client at the /mcp/ URL directly.
  3. x402 β€” /friction/changes (the time-sensitive change feed) is gated by the x402 protocol: unpaid requests get a real 402 with a payment challenge; pay $0.05 USDC on Base mainnet and retry to get the data. This is live, verified end-to-end with real money, not a demo β€” see api.py for the CDP-facilitator wiring.

Endpoints

EndpointCostWhat it returns
GET /friction/venuesFreeCurrent snapshot of every tracked venue. Optional ?confidence=verified|stale|unconfirmed filter.
GET /friction/venue/{slug}FreeOne venue's current fee/KYC/withdrawal/API-access data, e.g. /friction/venue/kalshi.
GET /friction/changes?since=<ISO8601>$0.05 USDC (x402)Append-only log of every detected change since a timestamp β€” the time-sensitive product.

Every record carries a confidence field: verified (spot-checked or high-confidence extraction), stale (source was unreachable, showing a cached value), or unconfirmed (LLM extraction was ambiguous). Treat unconfirmed as a lead to verify against the venue directly, not a fact to trade on.

MCP tools

  • list_venues(confidence) β€” browse/filter the current snapshot.
  • get_venue(slug) β€” one venue's full data.
  • recommend_venue(query) β€” free-text "which venue is best for lowest fees on high-frequency trading" / "I don't want to do KYC" / "API access without a wallet" style questions, reasoned over the current dataset. Says so explicitly rather than guessing when a query depends on data this tracker doesn't have (liquidity, volume, spread, uptime).
  • get_changes_info() β€” describes the paid change feed (URL, price) without reimplementing it for free.

What's here

FileWhat it does
schema.pyThe data model β€” one VenueFriction record per venue, plus the VenueRecommendation response shape
venues.pyThe 12 tracked venues and their policy-page source URLs
scrapers/base.pyFetches and cleans raw policy-page text (requests + Playwright fallback for JS-rendered pages)
extract.pySends raw page text to Claude, gets back a structured VenueFriction matching the schema
recommend.pyNatural-language venue recommendation β€” reasons over the current dataset via Claude, structured-output constrained to real venue slugs
reference_check.pyCross-checks scraped fees against a third-party source (TradeBlock), flags divergences for human review
storage.pySQLite: current_state table (latest snapshot) + change_log table (append-only, the paid product)
diff.pyCompares a fresh extraction to the stored one, writes a ChangeEvent for anything that moved
run_pipeline.pyOrchestrates fetch β†’ extract β†’ diff β†’ store, for all 12 venues
api.pyFastAPI server β€” the HTTP endpoints above, x402 payment gating, MCP mount
mcp_server.pyThe MCP tool definitions, mounted into api.py at /mcp/
test_pipeline_logic.py, test_recommend_logic.pyPure-logic tests, no API key needed

Running it locally

Terminal
pip install -r requirements.txt
python test_pipeline_logic.py      # no API key needed, proves storage/diff logic
python test_recommend_logic.py     # no API key needed, proves recommendation logic
export ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=sk-ant-...
python run_pipeline.py             # real scrape -> extract -> store, all 12 venues
uvicorn api:app --reload           # boots the API on localhost:8000

Then in another terminal:

Terminal
curl http://localhost:8000/friction/venues
curl http://localhost:8000/friction/venue/kalshi
curl "http://localhost:8000/friction/changes?since=2020-01-01T00:00:00Z"

See CLAUDE.md for environment quirks, Claude API usage notes, and the data-quality/confidence model in more depth.

Informational only β€” not financial or legal advice. Verify directly with the venue before acting on any figure returned here.

Read the full README β†’View source on GitHub β†’

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Frequently Asked Questions about Prediction Market Friction Tracker

Add the following block to your claude_desktop_config.json under mcpServers: "mcpServers": { "prediction-market-friction-tracker": { "command": "npx", "args": ["-y", "Prediction Market Friction Tracker"] } }

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Technical Specs & Signals

CategoryπŸ’°Finance & Fintech
More technical detailsExpand β–Ύ
TransportSTDIO
RuntimeNode.js
Last updatedSep 7, 2026
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27Quality signal: Emerging Β· 27/100How this signal is calculated β–Ύ
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Not scored for repo-hosted servers β€” we can't reach the running server, only its GitHub page. Hosted MCP endpoints are health-checked live.

Verified ownership8/20
Documentation & tools11/30
Adoption & activity1/15
Community engagement0/10

A guidance signal from public completeness & health data β€” not a user rating. New listings start lower and rise as they add docs, get verified, and grow adoption. Signals we can't observe for a listing are skipped, not counted against it.

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