geopoliticsrisk-intelligencefinanceconflict-monitoring
Daily geopolitical risk probabilities and political event data for AI agents across six conflict regions.
Quick Install
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Manual Client & Custom JSON ConfigExpand JSON βΎ
Client Config & Setup
Choose your client or environment
Target File:
π‘ Paste the JSON block into your client's configuration file under mcpServers, then restart the application.
Overview
Use cases
Monitor conflict escalation probabilities across six regions
Track political, economic, and natural-disaster event risks
Compare probability changes with values from seven days earlier
Assess potential impacts on industries, assets, and transmission channels
Support trading, hedging, research, or news-monitoring agents
Key features
Conflict risk probabilities at 1-day, 7-day, and 30-day horizons
Six-region coverage including Russia-Ukraine and China-Taiwan
Political event estimates with categories and deadlines
Structured risk impacts for industries, assets, and channels
Daily situation briefings in Chinese with English event summaries
Maritime traffic tool suspended and marked unavailable
Capabilities & Tool Schemas (3)
Inspect callable tools, capabilities, and parameters exposed to AI agents by War Dashboard Data.
get_conflict_risksRisk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons
get_political_eventsHigh-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates
get_maritime_trafficβ οΈ **Suspended** β AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns `status: unavailable`.
Documentation Overview
Futuristic Risk Intelligence β MCP Server & Data Feed
Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via Model Context Protocol (MCP). Updated daily.
MCP Tools
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
get_conflict_risks | Risk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons |
get_political_events | High-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates |
get_maritime_traffic | β οΈ Suspended β AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns status: unavailable. |
Install
Quick Start
Claude Desktop
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
Then ask Claude: "What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"
Direct API (REST)
Coverage
6 conflict regions: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America
5 event types with clear risk direction:
| Event Type | Meaning | Direction |
|---|---|---|
escalation | Military escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test) | risk_increase |
ceasefire | Ceasefire or peace agreement reached | risk_decrease |
ceasefire_cancel | Existing ceasefire breaks down | risk_increase |
regime_change | Government falls or changes | risk_increase |
diplomatic | Major diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty) | neutral |
Data Schema
conflicts.json
Each conflict includes:
| Field | Description |
|---|---|
conflict_id | Region identifier (e.g. russia_ukraine, iran_israel_us) |
importance | Editorial priority: high (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or low (low probability, included for data completeness) |
risk_level | Overall risk: high / medium / low |
probability_30d / 7d / 1d | P(event occurs within time horizon) |
situation_briefing | Daily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news |
risk_impact | Structured impact analysis: industries[], assets[], channels[] (transmission paths) |
risk_events[] | Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities |
risk_events[].direction | risk_increase (higher prob = more danger) or risk_decrease (higher prob = less danger) |
risk_events[].change_vs_7d_ago | Probability delta vs. 7 days ago |
data_points | Number of data sources (for confidence assessment) |
anomaly_detected | Whether probability diverges from news intensity |
political_events.json
Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.
| Field | Description |
|---|---|
event_summary | Event description (Chinese) |
event_summary_en | Event description (English) |
category | political / economic / natural_disaster |
probability | Estimated probability of occurrence |
importance | Editorial priority: high (recommended for display) or low (data completeness) |
deadline | Event deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable |
data_confidence | high / medium / low (based on trading volume) |
importance field
Both conflicts.json and political_events.json include an importance field:
highβ Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.lowβ Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.
maritime.json
β οΈ Suspended: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns {"status": "unavailable", "zones": []}. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.
Use Cases
- Trading agents: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes
- Risk management: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging
- DeFi protocols: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk
- Research agents: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions
- News agents: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines
Technical Details
- Zero dependencies: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)
- Data source: Proprietary multi-source modeling
- Update frequency: Daily
- Latency: Public data has ~24h delay
License
Data is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.
Website & Research
futuristicrisks.com β Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.
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