# predictionmarketspicks/mcp [Health: Active] **Category:** πŸ’° Finance & Fintech **Repository:** https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp **GitHub Stars:** 0 **Views:** 1 **Installs:** 0 **Upvotes:** 0 **Directory Page:** https://allmcps.com/mcp/predictionmarketspicks-mcp ## Description Quant tools + an NFL fantasy draft assistant for AI agents β€” Kalshi & Polymarket EV, edge, ADP. 22 tools: expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, odds conversion, base-rate gaps and a same-game combo builder, plus a full fantasy draft board (ADP, best-available, player outlook, sleepers) β€” all free, no key. Pro adds cross-platform gap scanning, macro pulse, commodity and NFL edge models, and live edge alerts. Remote Streamable HTTP at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp β€” nothing to install. ## Tools Capabilities this server exposes over MCP: - **calculate_ev** β€” Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. - **kelly_size** β€” Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating. - **bayes_update** β€” Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence via Bayes' theorem; returns the posterior and the per-step chain. - **convert_probability** β€” Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (American odds carry no commas). - **base_rate_gap** β€” Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample-size quality. - **combo_edge** β€” Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, and a negative-correlation-trap flag. Renders as an interactive card in supported hosts. - **nfl_power_ratings** β€” Gridiron Edge Rating (GER) for all 32 NFL teams β€” a defense-adjusted power rating with offense/defense/special-teams splits. - **nfl_win_probability** β€” Turn an NFL spread and total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability. - **draft_board** β€” The 2026 half-PPR fantasy draft board β€” every player ranked, blending the projection model with consensus ADP. - **best_available** β€” Best players still on the board given the current pick and who's already gone. - **player_outlook** β€” One player's 2026 outlook: projected points, floor/ceiling, boom/bust odds, and a SLEEPER / BUST read. - **compare_players** β€” Compare 2–4 players side by side β€” projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, and draft round. - **sleepers_and_busts** β€” The biggest gaps between the model and consensus ADP for 2026. - **who_do_i_draft** β€” The single best pick right now given your roster and pick number. - **adp_market_gaps** β€” Players whose Average Draft Position swings most between platforms β€” consensus vs ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo. - **find_arbitrage** β€” Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). - **market_pulse** β€” US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. - **commodity_edge** β€” Largest model edge on a Kalshi weekly-silver or twice-daily bitcoin strike, as a trade ticket (side, price, criterion, edge, tier, ΒΌ-Kelly). - **scan_mispricings** β€” Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model, with direction, edge in points, and quarter-Kelly sizing. - **nfl_edge** β€” Where the PMP NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices β€” game lines, win-total futures, MVP, championship. - **nfl_prop_edge** β€” NFL player-prop edges β€” model projection vs the Kalshi prop line (passing, rushing, receiving yards). - **edge_alerts** β€” The edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi β€” weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings β€” as a live feed. ## Claude Desktop Quick Installation Remote MCP endpoint (confidence: high). Install path detected from listing signals. Add as a URL/SSE server in your client: ```json "mcpServers": { "mcp": { "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp" } } ``` ## Documentation & README # PredictionMarketsPicks MCP [![mcp MCP server](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/predictionmarketspicks/mcp/badges/card.svg)](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/predictionmarketspicks/mcp) A hosted **Model Context Protocol** server that gives AI agents institutional-grade quant tools for **Kalshi** and **Polymarket** prediction markets β€” expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform arbitrage, live edge signals, NFL model-vs-market edges, and a full **2026 fantasy football draft assistant**. **22 tools β€” 15 free, 2 free-with-caps, 5 Pro.** - **Endpoint (Streamable HTTP):** `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp` - **Registry name:** `com.predictionmarketspicks/quant` ([Model Context Protocol registry](https://registry.modelcontextprotocol.io)) - **Docs / landing page:** https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp - **Manifest:** [`server.json`](./server.json) Β· also served at `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/.well-known/mcp/server.json` - **Type:** Cloud service ☁️ Β· TypeScript πŸ“‡ ## Demo [**Watch the 40-second walkthrough**](https://youtu.be/ulgw1yUeP-Q) β€” connect the server with one command, then ask in plain English and get quarter-Kelly position sizing from `kelly_size` and a model-vs-Kalshi edge read from `nfl_edge`, returned inside the chat. [![Watch the demo](https://svxqipncfupabpvxtlro.supabase.co/storage/v1/object/public/media/mcp/mcp-demo-poster.jpg)](https://youtu.be/ulgw1yUeP-Q) This repo is the public home and documentation for the hosted server. The server is live β€” no install, no build. Point any MCP client at the endpoint above. It also ships a **local, self-contained build of the six free calculators** (`src/`) β€” a stdio MCP server with no network access that runs in any sandbox. See [Run the free tier locally](#run-the-free-tier-locally). The Pro tools read live PMP edge engines and are only available on the hosted endpoint. ## Tools The free tier is a set of stateless quant calculators plus the whole 2026 fantasy draft assistant. Pro tools read PredictionMarketsPicks' live edge engines and require an API key. Two tools sit in between (**Capped**): they answer without a key at a limited depth and return more with a free key (just an email, no card) at [/mcp/key](https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp/key). | Tool | Tier | What it does | |---|---|---| | `calculate_ev` | Free | Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. | | `kelly_size` | Free | Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating. | | `bayes_update` | Free | Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence via Bayes' theorem; returns the posterior and the per-step chain. | | `convert_probability` | Free | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (American odds carry no commas). | | `base_rate_gap` | Free | Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample-size quality. | | `combo_edge` | Free | Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, and a negative-correlation-trap flag. Renders as an interactive card in supported hosts. | | `nfl_power_ratings` | Free | Gridiron Edge Rating (GER) for all 32 NFL teams β€” a defense-adjusted power rating with offense/defense/special-teams splits. | | `nfl_win_probability` | Free | Turn an NFL spread and total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability. | | `draft_board` | Free | The 2026 half-PPR fantasy draft board β€” every player ranked, blending the projection model with consensus ADP. | | `best_available` | Free | Best players still on the board given the current pick and who's already gone. | | `player_outlook` | Free | One player's 2026 outlook: projected points, floor/ceiling, boom/bust odds, and a SLEEPER / BUST read. | | `compare_players` | Free | Compare 2–4 players side by side β€” projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, and draft round. | | `sleepers_and_busts` | Free | The biggest gaps between the model and consensus ADP for 2026. | | `who_do_i_draft` | Free | The single best pick right now given your roster and pick number. | | `adp_market_gaps` | Free | Players whose Average Draft Position swings most between platforms β€” consensus vs ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo. | | `find_arbitrage` | Capped | Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). No key returns the single largest gap in full detail; a free key returns the top 3; Pro returns the whole board. | | `market_pulse` | Capped | US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime β€” free without a key, always β€” plus the six category scores: 2 without a key, 4 with a free key, all six on Pro. | | `commodity_edge` | Pro | Largest model edge on a Kalshi weekly-silver or twice-daily bitcoin strike, as a trade ticket (side, price, criterion, edge, tier, ΒΌ-Kelly). | | `scan_mispricings` | Pro | Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model, with direction, edge in points, and quarter-Kelly sizing. | | `nfl_edge` | Pro | Where the PMP NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices β€” game lines, win-total futures, MVP, championship. | | `nfl_prop_edge` | Pro | NFL player-prop edges β€” model projection vs the Kalshi prop line (passing, rushing, receiving yards). | | `edge_alerts` | Pro | The edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi β€” weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings β€” as a live feed. | All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis). ## Connect **Claude Code** ``` claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp ``` **Claude.ai, ChatGPT, or Cursor** β€” add a custom connector / MCP server with the URL: ``` https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp ``` The 15 free tools work with no key. Pro tools require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key β€” see https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp. ## Run the free tier locally The six core free calculators run entirely offline as a stdio MCP server β€” no key, no network. Useful for air-gapped agents, testing, or sandboxed hosts. ``` npm install npm start # stdio MCP server: 6 free tools npm run smoke # end-to-end self-test ``` Or with Docker: ``` docker build -t pmp-mcp-quant . docker run --rm -i pmp-mcp-quant ``` Point a stdio MCP client at `node src/index.js` (or the container). The local build ships the six core calculators only; the other 16 tools (draft assistant, NFL models, and the Pro edge engines) read live PMP data and are hosted-only β€” use the endpoint above. ## About Built by [PredictionMarketsPicks](https://predictionmarketspicks.com) β€” independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles. ## License MIT β€” see [`LICENSE`](./LICENSE). The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks; this repository covers the server's public interface and documentation.